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UpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$2.27
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$569
Total Shares569
Combined PnL+$0.58
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$2.85
Up — 75%Down — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $550 | +$0 | 52% 3571-3339 (6910) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $508.6 | $503 | +$2.05 | 54% 3763-3169 (6932) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.7¢ | $255.05 | $503 | +$251.05 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $247.5 | — | -$249 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $13.81 | $13 | +$0.28 | 63% 4221-2527 (6748) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 67% 3590-1785 (5375) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.3¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 51% 3341-3263 (6604) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
3571-3339 (6910)
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$508.6
Value
$503
PnL
+$2.05
Record
54%
3763-3169 (6932)
Both legs:
Up$255.0550.7¢+$251.05
Down$247.550¢-$249
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$13.81
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.28
Record
63%
4221-2527 (6748)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
67%
3590-1785 (5375)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
51%
3341-3263 (6604)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3735777b...e98278
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794714900