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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

Total Value

$115.29

Combined PnL

-$513.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares566
Combined PnL-$536.46
Down4 traders
Total Value$115.29
Total Shares115
Combined PnL+$23.17
Up — 60%Down — 40%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$516.37

Value

—

PnL

-$506.4

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$57.37

Value

$58

PnL

+$0.63

Record

98%

3999-84 (4083)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$14.38

Value

$30.19

PnL

+$15.81

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$16.44

Value

$15.1

PnL

-$0.34

Record

52%

3571-3339 (6910)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.45

Value

—

PnL

-$9.45

Record

67%

3590-1785 (5375)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$20.61

Value

—

PnL

-$13.02

Record

63%

4221-2527 (6748)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$4.93

Value

$12

PnL

+$7.07

Record

42%

1826-2483 (4309)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.58

Value

—

PnL

-$3.58

Record

52%

2809-2555 (5364)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.89

Value

—

PnL

-$2.89

Record

50%

2549-2566 (5115)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

65%

2545-1392 (3937)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x8b6905a7...fb4488
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794713100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$506.4
HO

hoodquant

Down — $58

+$0.63
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $30.19

+$15.81
SO

soswald1

Down — $15.1

-$0.34
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$9.45
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

-$13.02
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $12

+$7.07

MayorMamdani

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.58
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.89
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.12
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