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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 13% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Down 14%

Total Value

$689.81

Combined PnL

-$446.71

Smart Money Signal

Down

2 of 15 top traders (13%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares541
Combined PnL-$491.53
Up13 traders
Total Value$689.81
Total Shares690
Combined PnL+$44.82
Down — 13%Up — 87%
SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$550

Value

—

PnL

-$491.51

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$517.85

Value

$490.61

PnL

+$4.38

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$41.4

Value

$46

PnL

+$4.6

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$21.85

Value

$40

PnL

+$18.15

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$21.66

Value

$21.3

PnL

-$0.18

Record

67%

3569-1770 (5339)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$13.8

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.2

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$13.66

Value

$14.1

PnL

-$0.38

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Up

Invested

$12.25

Value

$25.52

PnL

+$13.27

Record

48%

1343-1431 (2774)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$9.82

Value

$10.23

PnL

+$0.41

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$8.37

Value

$6

PnL

-$2.37

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$5.15

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.85

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.26

Record

65%

2523-1384 (3907)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.45

Value

$5.06

PnL

+$0.61

Record

50%

2527-2554 (5081)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$0.85

Value

$0.89

PnL

+$0.04

Record

98%

3966-84 (4050)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

52%

2790-2541 (5331)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xbea876d4...95a9f1
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794711600

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$491.51
BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $490.61

+$4.38
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $46

+$4.6

ohioism

Up — $40

+$18.15
AS

asdaefef

Up — $21.3

-$0.18

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15

+$1.2
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $14.1

-$0.38
PB

PBot-5

Up — $25.52

+$13.27
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $10.23

+$0.41
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $6

-$2.37
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