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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$15.49

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$567.51

Total Shares568

Combined PnL+$24.33

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares58

Combined PnL-$8.84

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.4¢	$507.2	$500	+$4.8	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$550	$550	+$10.5	52% 3571-3339 (6910)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$265	—	-$264.5
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$275	$550	+$275
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$15.19	$15.34	+$0.15	98% 3999-84 (4083)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$7.92	$8	+$0.08	67% 3590-1785 (5375)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 43.7¢	$6.55	$15	+$8.45	47% 2198-2452 (4650)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 81¢	$9.99	$12.34	+$2.34	37% 1405-2441 (3846)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 48¢	$5.68	$11.83	+$6.15	49% 1355-1438 (2793)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	63% 4221-2527 (6748)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 53¢	$2.65	$5	+$2.35	47% 2305-2557 (4862)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 13.9¢	$13.64	—	-$6.44	51% 3341-3263 (6604)

Invested

$507.2

Value

$500

PnL

+$4.8

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$550

Value

$550

PnL

+$10.5

Record

52%

3571-3339 (6910)

Both legs:

Down$26550¢-$264.5

Up$27550¢+$275

Invested

$15.19

Value

$15.34

PnL

+$0.15

Record

98%

3999-84 (4083)

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

67%

3590-1785 (5375)

Invested

$6.55

Value

$15

PnL

+$8.45

Record

47%

2198-2452 (4650)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$9.99

Value

$12.34

PnL

+$2.34

Record

37%

1405-2441 (3846)

Invested

$5.68

Value

$11.83

PnL

+$6.15

Record

49%

1355-1438 (2793)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

63%

4221-2527 (6748)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$2.65

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.35

Record

47%

2305-2557 (4862)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$13.64

Value

—

PnL

-$6.44

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0db145b8...82f9f2

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794711300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $15.34

asdaefef

Up — $8

ohioism

Up — $15

antsaslyku

Up — $12.34

PBot-5

Up — $11.83

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

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