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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$2.07

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$565.07

Total Shares565

Combined PnL+$15.96

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares40

Combined PnL-$13.89

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Upavg 50.1¢	$553.2	$522.67	+$17.07	52% 3555-3314 (6869)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.3¢	$507.74	$500	-$1.2	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.3¢	$251.29	$500	+$249.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$248.96	—	-$250.6
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 68.1¢	$19.05	$17.28	-$1.77	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 79.1¢	$9.38	$9.13	-$0.25	67% 3569-1770 (5339)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 78¢	$7.73	$6	-$1.73	63% 4195-2511 (6706)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$5.55	—	-$5.55	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	98% 3966-84 (4050)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$4.1	—	-$4.1	44% 2183-2822 (5005)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 32¢	$2.88	—	-$2.88	47% 2185-2435 (4620)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.4	$5	+$2.6	48% 2261-2474 (4735)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.01	—	-$0.01	37% 1401-2422 (3823)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	50% 2527-2554 (5081)

Invested

$553.2

Value

$522.67

PnL

+$17.07

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$507.74

Value

$500

PnL

-$1.2

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

Both legs:

Up$251.2950.3¢+$249.4

Down$248.9649.8¢-$250.6

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$19.05

Value

$17.28

PnL

-$1.77

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

Invested

$9.38

Value

$9.13

PnL

-$0.25

Record

67%

3569-1770 (5339)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.73

Value

$6

PnL

-$1.73

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$5.55

Value

—

PnL

-$5.55

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

3966-84 (4050)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.88

Value

—

PnL

-$2.88

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.6

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

-$0.01

Record

37%

1401-2422 (3823)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

50%

2527-2554 (5081)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd85e3460...d58d8d

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794709800

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Up — $522.67

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $17.28

asdaefef

Up — $9.13

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $5

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $5

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