Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$721.23

Combined PnL

$27.02

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$219.69

Total Shares220

Combined PnL+$32.59

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares48

Combined PnL-$5.57

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$501.34	$501.54	+$1.5	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$251.34	$501.54	+$250.2
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.4	—	-$248.7
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 91.2¢	$148.69	$163.04	+$14.35	42% 1805-2456 (4261)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 46.2¢	$14.77	$25	+$10.23	52% 3555-3314 (6869)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 85.3¢	$10.05	$10.25	+$0.2	67% 3569-1770 (5339)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 38¢	$4.8	—	-$4.8	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 82.1¢	$4.6	$5.6	+$1	50% 2527-2554 (5081)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 83.2¢	$4.55	$5.47	+$0.92	65% 2523-1384 (3907)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 63¢	$4.55	$3.46	+$1.56	63% 4195-2511 (6706)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 37¢	$2.54	$6.86	+$4.32	48% 1343-1431 (2774)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 2.4¢	$0.72	—	-$0.72	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1401-2422 (3823)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$501.34

Value

$501.54

PnL

+$1.5

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

Both legs:

Up$251.3450.1¢+$250.2

Down$247.450¢-$248.7

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$148.69

Value

$163.04

PnL

+$14.35

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

Invested

$14.77

Value

$25

PnL

+$10.23

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

Invested

$10.05

Value

$10.25

PnL

+$0.2

Record

67%

3569-1770 (5339)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.6

Value

$5.6

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

2527-2554 (5081)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.55

Value

$5.47

PnL

+$0.92

Record

65%

2523-1384 (3907)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.55

Value

$3.46

PnL

+$1.56

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

Invested

$2.54

Value

$6.86

PnL

+$4.32

Record

48%

1343-1431 (2774)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.72

Value

—

PnL

-$0.72

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1401-2422 (3823)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb5067c10...30c026

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794708900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $163.04

soswald1

Up — $25

asdaefef

Up — $10.25

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5.6

asidjasiodja

Up — $5.47

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $3.46

PBot-5

Up — $6.86

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket