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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 36%

Total Value

$61.43

Combined PnL

-$518.12

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares561
Combined PnL-$537.26
Down7 traders
Total Value$61.43
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$19.14
Up — 36%Down — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$507.57

Value

—

PnL

-$493.44

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$24.53

Value

$25

PnL

+$1.39

Record

63%

4195-2511 (6706)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$37.15

Value

—

PnL

-$36.7

Record

52%

3555-3314 (6869)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

67%

3569-1770 (5339)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.02

Value

—

PnL

-$7.02

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

50%

2527-2554 (5081)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$3.77

Value

$13

PnL

+$9.23

Record

44%

2183-2822 (5005)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$0.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$4.3

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$1.4

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.6

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$0.93

Value

$1.43

PnL

+$0.5

Record

52%

2790-2541 (5331)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

37%

1401-2422 (3823)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe88bb2d1...d03221
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794707400

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$493.44
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $25

+$1.39
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$36.7
AS

asdaefef

Down — $6

+$0.06
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.02
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $6

+$0.06

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $13

+$9.23
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $5

+$4.3

ohioism

Down — $5

+$3.6

MayorMamdani

Down — $1.43

+$0.5
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