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DownUpDownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$591.75
Combined PnL
-$497.23
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$591.75
Total Shares592
Combined PnL+$2.82
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares505
Combined PnL-$500.05
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $550 | +$2.6 | 52% 3521-3295 (6816) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $31.37 | $31.69 | +$0.32 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $5.6 | $5.06 | -$0.19 | 62% 4151-2496 (6647) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 67% 3532-1757 (5289) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1396-2392 (3788) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$2.6
Record
52%
3521-3295 (6816)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$31.37
Value
$31.69
PnL
+$0.32
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
$5.06
PnL
-$0.19
Record
62%
4151-2496 (6647)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
67%
3532-1757 (5289)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1396-2392 (3788)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac5ef4fd...552b3e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794705600