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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 50%

Total Value

$128.05

Combined PnL

-$534.54

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares848
Combined PnL-$555.96
Up6 traders
Total Value$128.05
Total Shares128
Combined PnL+$21.42
Down — 50%Up — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$504.42

Value

—

PnL

-$493.39

Record

54%

3695-3113 (6808)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$47.74

Value

$48.22

PnL

+$0.48

Record

98%

3919-84 (4003)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.45

Value

—

PnL

-$23.45

Record

52%

3521-3295 (6816)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$34.89

Value

$27.77

PnL

-$5.22

Record

62%

4151-2496 (6647)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$16.86

Value

—

PnL

-$16.86

Record

44%

2169-2794 (4963)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$10.02

Value

$16

PnL

+$5.98

Record

50%

2497-2540 (5037)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.1

Value

—

PnL

-$9.1

Record

47%

2261-2522 (4783)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$4.66

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.34

Record

48%

2240-2454 (4694)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$5.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$14.6

Record

47%

2170-2411 (4581)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$5.82

Value

$6.06

PnL

+$0.24

Record

67%

3532-1757 (5289)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.75

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

52%

2764-2526 (5290)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.41

Value

—

PnL

-$9.41

Record

37%

1396-2392 (3788)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x0b6660ce...c73d6d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794705300

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$493.39
HO

hoodquant

Up — $48.22

+$0.48
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.45
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $27.77

-$5.22

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$16.86
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $16

+$5.98
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.1
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $10

+$5.34

ohioism

Up — $20

+$14.6
AS

asdaefef

Up — $6.06

+$0.24
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