Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

Total Value

$25.1

Combined PnL

-$496.47

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares534
Combined PnL-$500.17
Down5 traders
Total Value$25.1
Total Shares25
Combined PnL+$3.7
Up — 50%Down — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$490.1

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$9.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.1

Record

52%

1415-1309 (2724)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.25

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.99

Value

—

PnL

-$1.99

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$3.2

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.8

Record

52%

2738-2492 (5230)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.97

Value

—

PnL

-$7.97

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$3.5

Value

—

PnL

+$1.4

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x19177322...d5ed48
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794704400

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$490.1
0X

0x50f7

Down — $10

+$0.1
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5.05

+$0.15
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.05

+$0.25
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.99

MayorMamdani

Down — $5

+$1.8
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.05
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.06
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.97
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

+$1.4
Trade on Polymarket