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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$543.07

Combined PnL

$21.37

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$53.07

Total Shares53

Combined PnL+$26.19

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares22

Combined PnL-$4.82

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.5¢	$502.48	$490	-$3.45	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$250.97	—	-$251.15
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$247.7
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 55.3¢	$16.7	$30.21	+$13.51	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 39.9¢	$5.13	$12.86	+$7.73	44% 2131-2751 (4882)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$5.05	$10	+$4.95	47% 2230-2478 (4708)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$2.16	—	-$2.16	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 30¢	$2.24	—	-$2.24	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$0.37	—	-$0.37	49% 2317-2371 (4688)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1383-2353 (3736)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$502.48

Value

$490

PnL

-$3.45

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Both legs:

Down$250.9749.5¢-$251.15

Up$24550¢+$247.7

Invested

$16.7

Value

$30.21

PnL

+$13.51

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$5.13

Value

$12.86

PnL

+$7.73

Record

44%

2131-2751 (4882)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$5.05

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.95

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.16

Value

—

PnL

-$2.16

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.24

Value

—

PnL

-$2.24

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$0.37

Value

—

PnL

-$0.37

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x018fb75c...e5eaf1

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794704100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $30.21

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $12.86

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $10

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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