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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 44%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$8.66

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$540.38
Total Shares540
Combined PnL+$18.29
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$9.63
Down — 44%Up — 56%
SO
soswald1ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$550

Value

$545

PnL

+$17.11

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

Both legs:

Down$272.550¢+$274.75
Up$249.1550¢-$257.64
BY
ByteBadger92
Down

Invested

$514.04

Value

$509.15

PnL

+$16.71

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$13.94

Value

$15.17

PnL

+$1.23

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$11.97

Value

$12.05

PnL

+$0.08

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.05

Value

—

PnL

-$5.05

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$3.73

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.27

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.92

Value

—

PnL

-$1.92

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

65%

2474-1360 (3834)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.28

Value

—

PnL

-$1.28

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.36

Value

—

PnL

-$0.36

Record

44%

2131-2751 (4882)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x65f4e440...dac342
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794702600

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$17.11
BY

ByteBadger92

Down — $509.15

+$16.71
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $15.17

+$1.23
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.05

+$0.08
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.05
AS

asdaefef

Down — $4

+$0.27
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.92
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.02
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.28

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.36
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