Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$520.95

Combined PnL

-$57.3

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares74

Combined PnL-$61.67

Down5 traders

Total Value$20.95

Total Shares21

Combined PnL+$4.38

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.3¢	$506.53	$500	-$1.2	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$251.5	$500	+$248.8
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 52¢	$38.45	—	-$37.85	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$8.31	—	-$8.31	49% 1304-1382 (2686)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 58¢	$6.96	—	-$6.96	48% 2195-2413 (4608)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 52.5¢	$8.55	—	-$8.55	52% 2738-2492 (5230)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 65¢	$4.55	$6	+$1.45	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 95¢	$5.7	$6	+$0.3	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 51¢	$2.7	$5.29	+$2.59	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$2.61	$2.64	+$0.03	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$1.01	$1.02	+$0.01	98% 3857-81 (3938)