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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$38.21

Combined PnL

-$549.57

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares617
Combined PnL-$554.18
Up4 traders
Total Value$38.21
Total Shares38
Combined PnL+$4.61
Down — 60%Up — 40%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$518.49

Value

—

PnL

-$490.87

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$31.58

Value

—

PnL

-$31.58

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$26.33

Value

—

PnL

-$26.33

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$12.24

Value

$13.34

PnL

+$1.1

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$13.12

Value

$12

PnL

-$0.88

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$7.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.7

Record

52%

2738-2492 (5230)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.84

Value

—

PnL

-$3.84

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Up

Invested

$1.18

Value

$2.87

PnL

+$1.69

Record

49%

1304-1382 (2686)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.54

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xbbc89a54...9d70f8
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794701700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$490.87
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$31.58
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$26.33
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $13.34

+$1.1
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $12

-$0.88

MayorMamdani

Up — $10

+$2.7
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.84
PB

PBot-5

Up — $2.87

+$1.69
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.02
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.54
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