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UpUp
BoneOhioUpUpDownUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
-$2.38
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$914
Total Shares914
Combined PnL+$4.39
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares43
Combined PnL-$6.77
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $550 | +$0 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.6¢ | $508.3 | $505 | +$1.6 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.6¢ | $255.77 | $505 | +$251.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $287.1 | $290 | +$2.9 | 71% 1635-682 (2317) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98.5¢ | $63.06 | $64 | +$0.94 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.6¢ | $6.77 | — | -$6.77 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$508.3
Value
$505
PnL
+$1.6
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Both legs:
Up$255.7750.6¢+$251.6
Down$25050¢-$250
BoneOhioInvested
$287.1
Value
$290
PnL
+$2.9
Record
71%
1635-682 (2317)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$63.06
Value
$64
PnL
+$0.94
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$6.77
Value
—
PnL
-$6.77
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x69a6b2ad...ab836d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794701400