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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 57%

Total Value

$631.94

Combined PnL

-$0.72

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$631.94

Total Shares632

Combined PnL+$22.95

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares68

Combined PnL-$23.67

Down — 57%Up — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.8¢	$513.6	$493.01	-$1.62	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 60.2¢	$33.63	$42.29	+$8.66	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 52.8¢	$16.65	$31.53	+$14.88	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 89.2¢	$26.85	$30.11	+$3.26	50% 1577-1608 (3185)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 71.5¢	$23.55	$17	-$6.05	47% 2230-2478 (4708)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 54.8¢	$11	—	-$11	49% 2317-2371 (4688)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 55.7¢	$8.35	—	-$8.35	44% 2131-2751 (4882)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$6.93	$7	+$0.07	98% 3857-81 (3938)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 96¢	$4.8	$5	+$0.2	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 41¢	$2.46	$6	+$3.54	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	52% 2738-2492 (5230)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 14.6¢	$21.14	—	-$1.12	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 4.5¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1383-2353 (3736)

Invested

$513.6

Value

$493.01

PnL

-$1.62

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$33.63

Value

$42.29

PnL

+$8.66

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

Invested

$16.65

Value

$31.53

PnL

+$14.88

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$26.85

Value

$30.11

PnL

+$3.26

Record

50%

1577-1608 (3185)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$23.55

Value

$17

PnL

-$6.05

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$11

Value

—

PnL

-$11

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$8.35

Value

—

PnL

-$8.35

Record

44%

2131-2751 (4882)

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

98%

3857-81 (3938)

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.2

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.46

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.54

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

52%

2738-2492 (5230)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$21.14

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 14 top traders (57%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6240e4ed...aac001

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794701100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $493.01

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $42.29

soswald1

Down — $31.53

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $30.11

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $17

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

hoodquant

Down — $7

asdaefef

Down — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

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