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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$3.1

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$189.4

Total Shares189

Combined PnL+$6.18

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares40

Combined PnL-$3.08

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$550	$550	+$1.25	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$275	$550	+$275
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$267.5	—	-$273.75
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$497.98	-$0.16	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$248.99	$497.98	+$249.84
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 97.4¢	$163.58	$168	+$4.42	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98¢	$5.94	$6.06	+$0.12	65% 2474-1360 (3834)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 97¢	$4.95	$5.1	+$0.15	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 97¢	$4.95	$5.1	+$0.15	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 74¢	$3.8	$5.14	+$1.34	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 5.1¢	$1.02	—	-$1.02	52% 2738-2492 (5230)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 13.5¢	$2.01	—	-$2.01	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1383-2353 (3736)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$550

Value

$550

PnL

+$1.25

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

Both legs:

Up$27550¢+$275

Down$267.550¢-$273.75

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$497.98

PnL

-$0.16

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250

Up$248.9950¢+$249.84

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$163.58

Value

$168

PnL

+$4.42

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.06

PnL

+$0.12

Record

65%

2474-1360 (3834)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$0.15

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$0.15

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

$5.14

PnL

+$1.34

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

52%

2738-2492 (5230)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.01

Value

—

PnL

-$2.01

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfaaaeea7...f11524

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794699900

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $168

asidjasiodja

Up — $6.06

asdaefef

Up — $5.1

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5.1

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5.14

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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