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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$526.13

Combined PnL

-$544.89

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares598

Combined PnL-$542.68

Down4 traders

Total Value$526.13

Total Shares526

Combined PnL-$2.21

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1CTR	Upavg 50¢	$550	—	-$535.23	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.6¢	$510.65	$500	-$2.3	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$14.7	$15	+$0.3	98% 3857-81 (3938)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 90.4¢	$22.19	$6.13	-$1.36	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 77¢	$3.85	$5	+$1.15	48% 2195-2413 (4608)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$2.4	—	-$2.4	47% 2230-2478 (4708)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 9.7¢	$2.04	—	-$2.04	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 8.1¢	$1.54	—	-$1.54	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$1.47	—	-$1.47	67% 3477-1728 (5205)

Invested

$550

Value

—

PnL

-$535.23

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

Invested

$510.65

Value

$500

PnL

-$2.3

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Invested

$14.7

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.3

Record

98%

3857-81 (3938)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$22.19

Value

$6.13

PnL

-$1.36

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.15

Record

48%

2195-2413 (4608)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

47%

2230-2478 (4708)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.04

Value

—

PnL

-$2.04

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.54

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$1.47

Value

—

PnL

-$1.47

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x73ef108b...439851

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794699000

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Up — $0

ByteBadger92

Down — $500

hoodquant

Down — $15

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $6.13

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $5

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

asdaefef

Up — $0

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