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UpUpDownDownUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 43%
Total Value
$34
Combined PnL
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,070
Combined PnL$-1.1K
Down4 traders
Total Value$34
Total Shares34
Combined PnL+$0.65
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$543.73 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $504.4 | — | -$504.09 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $12.99 | $13 | +$0.01 | 52% 1415-1309 (2724) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $9.89 | $10 | +$0.11 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 52% 2738-2492 (5230) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$543.73
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$504.4
Value
—
PnL
-$504.09
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$12.99
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.01
Record
52%
1415-1309 (2724)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$9.89
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.11
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
52%
2738-2492 (5230)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xef24d2dc...72d149
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794698700