Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 58%
$653.82
-$49.07
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $515.83 | $495.42 | +$2.46 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 70.4Β’ | $56.48 | $64.9 | +$8.42 | 52% 3474-3256 (6730) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $44.39 | $44.91 | +$0.52 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.7Β’ | $68.2 | β | -$54.4 | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 71.5Β’ | $16.62 | $12.59 | -$4.03 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 70Β’ | $10.5 | $15 | +$4.5 | 47% 2230-2478 (4708) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 70Β’ | $10.5 | $15 | +$4.5 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.4Β’ | $11.97 | β | -$5.51 | 63% 4099-2458 (6557) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $4.26 | $6 | +$1.74 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.6Β’ | $2.16 | β | -$2.16 | 67% 3477-1728 (5205) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.2Β’ | $3.78 | β | -$3.78 | 50% 2462-2507 (4969) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 18Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 65% 2474-1360 (3834) |
Invested
$515.83
Value
$495.42
PnL
+$2.46
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Invested
$56.48
Value
$64.9
PnL
+$8.42
Record
52%
3474-3256 (6730)
Invested
$44.39
Value
$44.91
PnL
+$0.52
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$68.2
Value
β
PnL
-$54.4
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
Invested
$16.62
Value
$12.59
PnL
-$4.03
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.5
Record
47%
2230-2478 (4708)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.5
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
Invested
$11.97
Value
β
PnL
-$5.51
Record
63%
4099-2458 (6557)
Invested
$4.26
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.74
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$2.16
Value
β
PnL
-$2.16
Record
67%
3477-1728 (5205)
Invested
$3.78
Value
β
PnL
-$3.78
Record
50%
2462-2507 (4969)
Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
65%
2474-1360 (3834)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $495.42
soswald1
Up β $64.9
hoodquant
Up β $44.91
uninformedfloww
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $12.59
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $15
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $15
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $6
asdaefef
CTRDown β $0