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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$582.21

Combined PnL

$7.42

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$82.21

Total Shares82

Combined PnL+$14.87

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares46

Combined PnL-$7.45

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$505.7	$500	-$1.2	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$250.68	—	-$251.2
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 36.1¢	$15.23	$28.08	+$12.85	52% 3474-3256 (6730)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 53.8¢	$17.47	$23.04	+$5.57	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 81.2¢	$16.99	$16	-$0.94	63% 4099-2458 (6557)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 78¢	$10.44	$7	-$3.44	67% 3477-1728 (5205)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 56¢	$3.36	$6	+$2.64	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 98¢	$3.9	$2.09	-$1.81	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1383-2353 (3736)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 18.2¢	$7.4	—	-$7.4	49% 2317-2371 (4688)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.7

Value

$500

PnL

-$1.2

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$250.6850.1¢-$251.2

Invested

$15.23

Value

$28.08

PnL

+$12.85

Record

52%

3474-3256 (6730)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$17.47

Value

$23.04

PnL

+$5.57

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$16.99

Value

$16

PnL

-$0.94

Record

63%

4099-2458 (6557)

Invested

$10.44

Value

$7

PnL

-$3.44

Record

67%

3477-1728 (5205)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.36

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.64

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$3.9

Value

$2.09

PnL

-$1.81

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1383-2353 (3736)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.4

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa87e3c47...0ad3bd

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794698100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $28.08

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $23.04

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $16

asdaefef

Up — $7

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

dvasdkasodk

Up — $2.09

antsaslyku

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

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