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UpDownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 71%
Total Value
$506.94
Combined PnL
-$560.13
Smart Money Signal
Up
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares605
Combined PnL-$556.45
Down2 traders
Total Value$506.94
Total Shares507
Combined PnL-$3.68
Up — 75%Down — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$533.65 | 52% 3445-3233 (6678) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $511.13 | $501.84 | -$4.03 | 54% 3579-3041 (6620) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 48% 1276-1362 (2638) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $5.85 | — | -$5.85 | 44% 2109-2719 (4828) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 52% 2715-2472 (5187) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $4.75 | $5.11 | +$0.36 | 67% 3450-1707 (5157) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 42% 1711-2331 (4042) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.5¢ | $7.5 | — | -$1.85 | 63% 4066-2434 (6500) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$533.65
Record
52%
3445-3233 (6678)
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$511.13
Value
$501.84
PnL
-$4.03
Record
54%
3579-3041 (6620)
PB
PBot-5CTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
48%
1276-1362 (2638)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.85
Value
—
PnL
-$5.85
Record
44%
2109-2719 (4828)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
52%
2715-2472 (5187)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.36
Record
67%
3450-1707 (5157)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
42%
1711-2331 (4042)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
63%
4066-2434 (6500)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0b389583...262cff
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794695400