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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$569.59

Combined PnL

-$11.34

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$569.59

Total Shares570

Combined PnL+$5.12

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares87

Combined PnL-$16.46

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.4¢	$518.45	$502.83	-$1.23	54% 3579-3041 (6620)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 93.6¢	$33.71	$36	+$2.29	52% 2715-2472 (5187)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$18.62	$19	+$0.38	98% 3813-79 (3892)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 41.9¢	$10.32	—	-$10.32	48% 2164-2388 (4552)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$3.7	—	-$3.7	47% 2202-2452 (4654)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 48.9¢	$3.28	$6.71	+$3.43	52% 3445-3233 (6678)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 95¢	$4.8	$5.05	+$0.25	67% 3450-1707 (5157)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	37% 1368-2322 (3690)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$2.24	—	-$2.24	44% 2109-2719 (4828)

Invested

$518.45

Value

$502.83

PnL

-$1.23

Record

54%

3579-3041 (6620)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$33.71

Value

$36

PnL

+$2.29

Record

52%

2715-2472 (5187)

Invested

$18.62

Value

$19

PnL

+$0.38

Record

98%

3813-79 (3892)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$10.32

Value

—

PnL

-$10.32

Record

48%

2164-2388 (4552)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.7

Value

—

PnL

-$3.7

Record

47%

2202-2452 (4654)

Invested

$3.28

Value

$6.71

PnL

+$3.43

Record

52%

3445-3233 (6678)

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.25

Record

67%

3450-1707 (5157)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

37%

1368-2322 (3690)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.24

Value

—

PnL

-$2.24

Record

44%

2109-2719 (4828)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1a8bfc8c...adadb2

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794695100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $502.83

MayorMamdani

Down — $36

hoodquant

Down — $19

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

soswald1

Down — $6.71

asdaefef

Down — $5.05

antsaslyku

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

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