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DownUpUpUpUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 43%
Total Value
$123.54
Combined PnL
-$454.08
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares509
Combined PnL-$489.18
Up4 traders
Total Value$123.54
Total Shares124
Combined PnL+$35.1
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.3¢ | $502.27 | — | -$487.15 | 54% 3579-3041 (6620) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $61.09 | $62.98 | +$1.89 | 42% 1711-2331 (4042) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 36.1¢ | $18.25 | $50.5 | +$32.25 | 48% 1276-1362 (2638) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 67% 3450-1707 (5157) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $4.2 | $5.06 | +$0.86 | 63% 4066-2434 (6500) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 52% 3445-3233 (6678) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.13 | — | -$1.13 | 47% 2109-2347 (4456) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$502.27
Value
—
PnL
-$487.15
Record
54%
3579-3041 (6620)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$61.09
Value
$62.98
PnL
+$1.89
Record
42%
1711-2331 (4042)
PB
PBot-5<$100Invested
$18.25
Value
$50.5
PnL
+$32.25
Record
48%
1276-1362 (2638)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
67%
3450-1707 (5157)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.86
Record
63%
4066-2434 (6500)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
52%
3445-3233 (6678)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.13
Value
—
PnL
-$1.13
Record
47%
2109-2347 (4456)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8d5726ad...1cef3d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794694800