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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 20%

Total Value

$60.53

Combined PnL

-$484.86

Smart Money Signal

Down

2 of 10 top traders (20%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares519
Combined PnL-$500.83
Up8 traders
Total Value$60.53
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$15.97
Down — 20%Up — 80%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$504.8

Value

—

PnL

-$491.96

Record

54%

3579-3041 (6620)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$14.52

Value

$14

PnL

-$0.52

Record

63%

4066-2434 (6500)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.87

Value

—

PnL

-$8.87

Record

48%

1276-1362 (2638)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$5.4

Value

$15

PnL

+$9.6

Record

48%

2164-2388 (4552)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

67%

3450-1707 (5157)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$5.46

Value

$6.07

PnL

+$0.61

Record

50%

2442-2474 (4916)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.03

PnL

+$0.08

Record

65%

2454-1338 (3792)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$3.79

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.21

Record

42%

1711-2331 (4042)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$2.22

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.78

Record

47%

2202-2452 (4654)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$1.29

Value

$1.43

PnL

+$0.14

Record

52%

3445-3233 (6678)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x3357d847...9a3ba5
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794694500

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$491.96
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $14

-$0.52
PB

PBot-5

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.87
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $15

+$9.6
AS

asdaefef

Up — $7

+$0.07
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $6.07

+$0.61
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5.03

+$0.08
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

+$2.21
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $6

+$3.78
SO

soswald1

Up — $1.43

+$0.14
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