Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 50%
$710.4
-$596.46
Smart Money Signal
8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $550 | β | -$518.19 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $520.39 | $492.94 | +$2.82 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7Β’ | $119.89 | $121.5 | +$1.61 | 98% 3774-79 (3853) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.1Β’ | $54.23 | β | -$54.23 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 58.5Β’ | $24.3 | $30.54 | +$6.24 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $23.76 | $24 | +$0.24 | 52% 1395-1293 (2688) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 37Β’ | $12.6 | β | -$12.6 | 71% 1607-666 (2273) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.8Β’ | $15.3 | $16.14 | +$0.84 | 50% 2427-2459 (4886) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.3Β’ | $9.33 | β | -$9.33 | 37% 1362-2297 (3659) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 65.5Β’ | $8.38 | $9.62 | +$1.24 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 77.8Β’ | $9.42 | $10.67 | +$1.25 | 65% 2432-1333 (3765) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.9Β’ | $9.21 | β | -$9.21 | 48% 2150-2369 (4519) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 56Β’ | $5.05 | $5 | -$0.05 | 47% 2089-2333 (4422) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $3.3 | β | -$3.3 | 42% 1702-2303 (4005) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 56Β’ | $2.8 | β | -$2.8 | 52% 2695-2461 (5156) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.6Β’ | $1.02 | β | -$0.98 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
Invested
$550
Value
β
PnL
-$518.19
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
Invested
$520.39
Value
$492.94
PnL
+$2.82
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Invested
$119.89
Value
$121.5
PnL
+$1.61
Record
98%
3774-79 (3853)
Invested
$54.23
Value
β
PnL
-$54.23
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Invested
$24.3
Value
$30.54
PnL
+$6.24
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$23.76
Value
$24
PnL
+$0.24
Record
52%
1395-1293 (2688)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
β
PnL
-$12.6
Record
71%
1607-666 (2273)
Invested
$15.3
Value
$16.14
PnL
+$0.84
Record
50%
2427-2459 (4886)
Invested
$9.33
Value
β
PnL
-$9.33
Record
37%
1362-2297 (3659)
Invested
$8.38
Value
$9.62
PnL
+$1.24
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
Invested
$9.42
Value
$10.67
PnL
+$1.25
Record
65%
2432-1333 (3765)
Invested
$9.21
Value
β
PnL
-$9.21
Record
48%
2150-2369 (4519)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.05
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.05
Record
47%
2089-2333 (4422)
Invested
$3.3
Value
β
PnL
-$3.3
Record
42%
1702-2303 (4005)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
β
PnL
-$2.8
Record
52%
2695-2461 (5156)
Invested
$1.02
Value
β
PnL
-$0.98
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
CTRUp β $0
ByteBadger92
Down β $492.94
hoodquant
Down β $121.5
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $30.54
0x50f7
Down β $24

BoneOhio
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $16.14
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $9.62