Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Up 67%
2 arb excluded
$1.1K
$1.18
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $550 | $550 | +$8.24 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $275 | $550 | +$275 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $255.5 | β | -$266.76 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.2Β’ | $503.32 | $503.7 | +$2.35 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.2Β’ | $252.7 | $503.7 | +$251 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.6Β’ | $245.65 | β | -$248.65 | |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $4.03 | β | -$4.03 | 52% 1395-1293 (2688) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $10 | $13.51 | +$3.51 | 37% 1362-2297 (3659) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $6.51 | $7 | +$0.49 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 17Β’ | $1.02 | β | -$1.02 | 42% 1702-2303 (4005) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $4.44 | $6 | +$1.56 | 51% 3203-3131 (6334) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87Β’ | $4.5 | $5.17 | +$0.67 | 67% 3426-1692 (5118) |
Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$8.24
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
Both legs:
Invested
$503.32
Value
$503.7
PnL
+$2.35
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Both legs:
Invested
$4.03
Value
β
PnL
-$4.03
Record
52%
1395-1293 (2688)
Invested
$10
Value
$13.51
PnL
+$3.51
Record
37%
1362-2297 (3659)
Invested
$6.51
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.49
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
Invested
$1.02
Value
β
PnL
-$1.02
Record
42%
1702-2303 (4005)
Invested
$4.44
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.56
Record
51%
3203-3131 (6334)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.17
PnL
+$0.67
Record
67%
3426-1692 (5118)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x50f7
CTRDown β $0
antsaslyku
Up β $13.51
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $7
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $6
asdaefef
Up β $5.17