Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 57%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$9.36

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$38.38

Total Shares38

Combined PnL-$3.61

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$5.76

Down — 57%Up — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$550	$540.1	+$10.75	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$270.05	$540.1	+$269.51
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$252.5	—	-$258.75
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$502.14	$493	+$3.06	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$246.5	$493	+$249.72
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$247.16	—	-$246.66
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99¢	$15.23	$15.38	+$0.15	52% 1395-1293 (2688)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 88.1¢	$16.92	$12	-$4.92	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$6.49	$6	-$0.49	65% 2432-1333 (3765)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 19.3¢	$2.44	—	-$2.44	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 67¢	$3.35	$5	+$1.65	37% 1362-2297 (3659)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$2.45	—	-$2.45	48% 1266-1353 (2619)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 40¢	$0.87	—	-$0.87	42% 1702-2303 (4005)