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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$571.38

Combined PnL

-$66.98

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares144

Combined PnL-$87.6

Up5 traders

Total Value$78.47

Total Shares78

Combined PnL+$20.61

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.3¢	$514.66	$492.91	+$5.34	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$245.74	$492.91	+$251.09
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.3¢	$248.22	—	-$245.75
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 66.4¢	$60	—	-$60	49% 2276-2326 (4602)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 59.4¢	$27	$43.55	+$17	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 45.3¢	$15.85	—	-$15.85	48% 1266-1353 (2619)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 35¢	$5.6	$10	+$4.4	37% 1362-2297 (3659)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77¢	$10.85	$10	-$0.85	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 84.7¢	$10.65	$8.92	-$1.73	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 70¢	$4.2	$6	+$1.8	42% 1702-2303 (4005)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 45.3¢	$6.8	—	-$6.8	44% 2099-2693 (4792)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 55¢	$4.95	—	-$4.95	63% 4035-2416 (6451)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$514.66

Value

$492.91

PnL

+$5.34

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

Both legs:

Up$245.7449.9¢+$251.09

Down$248.2249.3¢-$245.75

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$60

Value

—

PnL

-$60

Record

49%

2276-2326 (4602)

Invested

$27

Value

$43.55

PnL

+$17

Record

52%

3418-3216 (6634)

Invested

$15.85

Value

—

PnL

-$15.85

Record

48%

1266-1353 (2619)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$5.6

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.4

Record

37%

1362-2297 (3659)

Invested

$10.85

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.85

Record

67%

3426-1692 (5118)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$10.65

Value

$8.92

PnL

-$1.73

Record

50%

2427-2459 (4886)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.8

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$6.8

Value

—

PnL

-$6.8

Record

44%

2099-2693 (4792)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

—

PnL

-$4.95

Record

63%

4035-2416 (6451)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x873e7cd8...c2d8f4

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794690000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

soswald1

Up — $43.55

PBot-5

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $10

asdaefef

Up — $10

dvasdkasodk

Up — $8.92

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

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