Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 70%
$996.01
-$499.49
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $550 | $540 | +$0.6 | 51% 3392-3202 (6594) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | β | -$498.58 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 96Β’ | $389.76 | $406 | +$16.24 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 74.1Β’ | $11.7 | $15.8 | +$4.1 | 51% 3173-3101 (6274) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96.2Β’ | $12.95 | $12.16 | -$0.79 | 50% 2409-2440 (4849) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $11.52 | $12 | +$0.48 | 52% 2682-2447 (5129) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $6.05 | $5.05 | -$1 | 63% 4009-2399 (6408) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 67% 3403-1682 (5085) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.5Β’ | $20.84 | β | -$20.84 | 42% 1686-2284 (3970) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 37% 1353-2279 (3632) |
Invested
$550
Value
$540
PnL
+$0.6
Record
51%
3392-3202 (6594)
Invested
$500
Value
β
PnL
-$498.58
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Invested
$389.76
Value
$406
PnL
+$16.24
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$15.8
PnL
+$4.1
Record
51%
3173-3101 (6274)
Invested
$12.95
Value
$12.16
PnL
-$0.79
Record
50%
2409-2440 (4849)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.52
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.48
Record
52%
2682-2447 (5129)
Invested
$6.05
Value
$5.05
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
4009-2399 (6408)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
67%
3403-1682 (5085)
Invested
$20.84
Value
β
PnL
-$20.84
Record
42%
1686-2284 (3970)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1353-2279 (3632)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down β $540
ByteBadger92
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $406
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $15.8
dvasdkasodk
Down β $12.16

MayorMamdani
Down β $12
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $5.05
asdaefef
Down β $5
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0