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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 54%

Total Value

$58.16

Combined PnL

-$527.48

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares588
Combined PnL-$526.3
Down6 traders
Total Value$58.16
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$1.19
Up — 54%Down — 46%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$510.93

Value

—

PnL

-$499.57

Record

54%

3514-2992 (6506)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$31.1

Value

$28

PnL

-$3.1

Record

51%

3173-3101 (6274)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$8.91

Value

$9

PnL

+$0.09

Record

63%

4009-2399 (6408)

SO
soswald1CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$15.8

Value

—

PnL

-$15.8

Record

51%

3392-3202 (6594)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$5.04

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.96

Record

52%

2682-2447 (5129)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.4

Record

65%

2417-1324 (3741)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

3730-79 (3809)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5.11

PnL

+$0.41

Record

67%

3403-1682 (5085)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.45

Value

—

PnL

-$2.45

Record

42%

1686-2284 (3970)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$2.4

Record

48%

1258-1344 (2602)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.98

Value

—

PnL

-$0.98

Record

50%

2409-2440 (4849)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.09

Value

—

PnL

-$0.09

Record

37%

1353-2279 (3632)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

50%

2267-2294 (4561)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb62b0360...dbada4
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794689100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$499.57
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $28

-$3.1
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $9

+$0.09
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$15.8

MayorMamdani

Down — $6

+$0.96
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

+$0.4
HO

hoodquant

Down — $5

+$0.05
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.11

+$0.41
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.45
PB

PBot-5

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.4
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