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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 50%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$37.01

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,033

Combined PnL-$20.67

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares140

Combined PnL-$16.34

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$550	$501	-$15.59	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.8¢	$512.76	$500.01	-$2.26	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 83.4¢	$15.01	$18	+$2.99	52% 2695-2461 (5156)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 84.6¢	$20.85	$7.33	-$4.52	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$8.29	$7	-$1.29	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 15.6¢	$25.14	—	-$0.76	63% 4035-2416 (6451)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 43.5¢	$6.52	—	-$6.52	47% 2188-2425 (4613)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 4.5¢	$0.54	—	-$0.54	42% 1702-2303 (4005)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1362-2297 (3659)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 9.2¢	$8.47	—	-$8.47	49% 2276-2326 (4602)

Invested

$550

Value

$501

PnL

-$15.59

Record

52%

3418-3216 (6634)

Invested

$512.76

Value

$500.01

PnL

-$2.26

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$15.01

Value

$18

PnL

+$2.99

Record

52%

2695-2461 (5156)

Invested

$20.85

Value

$7.33

PnL

-$4.52

Record

67%

3426-1692 (5118)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$8.29

Value

$7

PnL

-$1.29

Record

50%

2427-2459 (4886)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$25.14

Value

—

PnL

-$0.76

Record

63%

4035-2416 (6451)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$6.52

Value

—

PnL

-$6.52

Record

47%

2188-2425 (4613)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.54

Value

—

PnL

-$0.54

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1362-2297 (3659)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$8.47

Value

—

PnL

-$8.47

Record

49%

2276-2326 (4602)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfdca4cf4...2cee24

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794688800

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Down — $501

ByteBadger92

Down — $500.01

MayorMamdani

Down — $18

asdaefef

Down — $7.33

dvasdkasodk

Down — $7

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

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