Back to Markets
UpUpUpDown
MayorMamdani<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$8.87
Combined PnL
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,058
Combined PnL$-1.0K
Down2 traders
Total Value$8.87
Total Shares9
Combined PnL+$0.18
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$548 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $1.83 | $1.87 | +$0.04 | 52% 2655-2432 (5087) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$548
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.83
Value
$1.87
PnL
+$0.04
Record
52%
2655-2432 (5087)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1718d4fa...e91c9f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794685500