Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Up 83%
2 arb excluded
$1.1K
$20.32
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $513.45 | -$18.46 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $272.5 | — | -$273.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $256.73 | $513.45 | +$254.94 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $506.25 | $496 | -$2.65 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $252.59 | — | -$252.3 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.95 | $496 | +$249.65 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $11 | $21.34 | +$10.34 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $6.7 | $10 | +$3.3 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 46.2¢ | $4.38 | $6.36 | +$1.98 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $6.6 | $10 | +$3.4 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.7 | $5 | +$2.3 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.4¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
Invested
$550
Value
$513.45
PnL
-$18.46
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Both legs:
Invested
$506.25
Value
$496
PnL
-$2.65
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
Invested
$11
Value
$21.34
PnL
+$10.34
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
Invested
$6.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.3
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$4.38
Value
$6.36
PnL
+$1.98
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.4
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.3
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)