Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 70%
$671.01
-$0.11
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $518.57 | $495 | +$8.6 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 69.8Β’ | $51.32 | $52.86 | +$6.51 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 84.1Β’ | $39.36 | $36.32 | -$2.09 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96.1Β’ | $32.52 | $33 | +$0.48 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.6Β’ | $27.28 | $27.96 | +$0.68 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89.8Β’ | $27.29 | $20.86 | -$4.57 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $6.4 | $5 | -$1.4 | 64% 2389-1316 (3705) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $2.11 | β | -$2.11 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.2Β’ | $5.4 | β | -$5.4 | 37% 1347-2255 (3602) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $0.8 | β | -$0.8 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
Invested
$518.57
Value
$495
PnL
+$8.6
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Invested
$51.32
Value
$52.86
PnL
+$6.51
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$39.36
Value
$36.32
PnL
-$2.09
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$32.52
Value
$33
PnL
+$0.48
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
Invested
$27.28
Value
$27.96
PnL
+$0.68
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$27.29
Value
$20.86
PnL
-$4.57
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
Invested
$6.4
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.4
Record
64%
2389-1316 (3705)
Invested
$2.11
Value
β
PnL
-$2.11
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
Invested
$5.4
Value
β
PnL
-$5.4
Record
37%
1347-2255 (3602)
Invested
$0.8
Value
β
PnL
-$0.8
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down β $495
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $52.86
soswald1
Down β $36.32
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $33
hoodquant
Down β $27.96
dvasdkasodk
Down β $20.86
asidjasiodja
Down β $5
asdaefef
CTRUp β $0
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp β $0