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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Up 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$531.2

Combined PnL

$6.3

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$41.2

Total Shares41

Combined PnL+$9.05

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares15

Combined PnL-$2.75

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$490	-$0.5	54% 3449-2937 (6386)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$249.5
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 74.3¢	$11.21	$15	+$3.79	51% 3103-3041 (6144)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 76.8¢	$13.89	$18.09	+$4.2	51% 3318-3179 (6497)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 98¢	$3.05	$3.11	+$0.06	42% 1643-2244 (3887)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 80¢	$4	$5	+$1	62% 3938-2372 (6310)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1340-2240 (3580)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$2.7	—	-$2.7	50% 2231-2229 (4460)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$490

PnL

-$0.5

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250

Up$24550¢+$249.5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$11.21

Value

$15

PnL

+$3.79

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

Invested

$13.89

Value

$18.09

PnL

+$4.2

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.05

Value

$3.11

PnL

+$0.06

Record

42%

1643-2244 (3887)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4

Value

$5

PnL

+$1

Record

62%

3938-2372 (6310)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1340-2240 (3580)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

50%

2231-2229 (4460)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3c08bc87...e7e0be

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794682500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $15

soswald1

Up — $18.09

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $3.11

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

antsaslyku

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

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