Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 58%
$650.09
-$556.84
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $552.8 | $522.03 | -$2.53 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 48.7¢ | $513.07 | — | -$492.8 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $51.48 | $52 | +$0.52 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $55.37 | $49.06 | -$6.31 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.5¢ | $25.17 | — | -$20.74 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.4¢ | $32.8 | — | -$27.7 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $8.8 | $5.94 | -$2.86 | 50% 2368-2397 (4765) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $9.35 | $10 | +$0.65 | 49% 1497-1559 (3056) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $6 | $5.06 | -$0.94 | 64% 2369-1311 (3680) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $8.75 | $6 | -$2.75 | 52% 2630-2425 (5055) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.5¢ | $1.28 | — | -$1.28 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 37% 1340-2240 (3580) |
Invested
$552.8
Value
$522.03
PnL
-$2.53
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$513.07
Value
—
PnL
-$492.8
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Invested
$51.48
Value
$52
PnL
+$0.52
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$55.37
Value
$49.06
PnL
-$6.31
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$25.17
Value
—
PnL
-$20.74
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Invested
$32.8
Value
—
PnL
-$27.7
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$8.8
Value
$5.94
PnL
-$2.86
Record
50%
2368-2397 (4765)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$9.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.65
Record
49%
1497-1559 (3056)
Invested
$6
Value
$5.06
PnL
-$0.94
Record
64%
2369-1311 (3680)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.75
Value
$6
PnL
-$2.75
Record
52%
2630-2425 (5055)
Invested
$1.28
Value
—
PnL
-$1.28
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
37%
1340-2240 (3580)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down — $522.03
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $52
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $49.06
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5.94
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $10
asidjasiodja
Down — $5.06
MayorMamdani
Down — $6