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UpDownDownDownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 14%
Total Value
$32.59
Combined PnL
-$495.5
Smart Money Signal
Up
1 of 7 top traders (14%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares500
Combined PnL-$500
Down6 traders
Total Value$32.59
Total Shares33
Combined PnL+$4.5
Up — 14%Down — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $5.88 | $6 | +$0.12 | 50% 2368-2397 (4765) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $5.88 | $6 | +$0.12 | 42% 1643-2244 (3887) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.21 | $4.59 | +$1.38 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.12
Record
50%
2368-2397 (4765)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.12
Record
42%
1643-2244 (3887)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$3.21
Value
$4.59
PnL
+$1.38
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcdd811c3...2622aa
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794680100