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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$586.88

Combined PnL

-$18.37

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 12 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$86.88
Total Shares87
Combined PnL+$21.5
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares148
Combined PnL-$39.87
Up — 50%Down — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$506.53

Value

$500

PnL

-$2.17

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

Both legs:

Up$251.550.3¢+$247.8
Down$249.9750¢-$249.97
SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$16.51

Value

$20.57

PnL

+$4.06

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$18.02

Value

$17.14

PnL

-$0.88

Record

50%

2368-2397 (4765)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$11.47

Value

$13.16

PnL

+$1.69

Record

62%

3938-2372 (6310)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Up

Invested

$10

Value

$25

PnL

+$15

Record

48%

1230-1322 (2552)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.12

Record

67%

3341-1667 (5008)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.1

Value

—

PnL

-$3.1

Record

47%

2135-2370 (4505)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.22

Value

—

PnL

-$2.22

Record

42%

1643-2244 (3887)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.45

Value

—

PnL

-$1.45

Record

47%

2092-2317 (4409)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$3.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.5

Record

52%

2630-2425 (5055)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.09

Value

—

PnL

-$2.09

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$25.8

Value

—

PnL

-$25.8

Record

50%

2231-2229 (4460)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.21

Value

—

PnL

-$5.21

Record

44%

2041-2641 (4682)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7df21819...3576c0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794679500

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$2.17
SO

soswald1

Up — $20.57

+$4.06
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $17.14

-$0.88
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $13.16

+$1.69
PB

PBot-5

Up — $25

+$15
AS

asdaefef

Up — $6

+$0.12
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.1
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.22
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.45

MayorMamdani

Up — $5

+$1.5
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