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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$18.52

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$682.33
Total Shares682
Combined PnL+$31.22
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares7
Combined PnL-$12.7
Up — 80%Down — 20%
SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$552.05

Value

$535.13

PnL

+$12.46

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$510.77

Value

$497.24

PnL

-$2.15

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

Both legs:

Up$246.5749.6¢+$248.34
Down$250.5449.6¢-$250.49
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$100.98

Value

$102

PnL

+$1.02

Record

98%

3651-75 (3726)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$15.6

Value

$12

PnL

-$3.6

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.22

PnL

+$0.42

Record

49%

1497-1559 (3056)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$16.71

Value

—

PnL

-$11.78

Record

62%

3938-2372 (6310)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$3.42

Value

$9.8

PnL

+$6.38

Record

50%

2368-2397 (4765)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$2.28

Value

$7.28

PnL

+$5

Record

67%

3341-1667 (5008)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.92

Value

—

PnL

-$0.92

Record

44%

2041-2641 (4682)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$0.32

Value

$8

PnL

+$7.68

Record

52%

2630-2425 (5055)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$1.04

Value

$2.9

PnL

+$1.86

Record

64%

2369-1311 (3680)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xeb53a891...d93302
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794678900

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

Up — $535.13

+$12.46
BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$2.15
HO

hoodquant

Up — $102

+$1.02
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $12

-$3.6

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $5.22

+$0.42
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.78
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $9.8

+$6.38
AS

asdaefef

Up — $7.28

+$5

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.92

MayorMamdani

Up — $8

+$7.68
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