Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$1.48

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$516.16

Total Shares516

Combined PnL-$1.23

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares7

Combined PnL-$0.25

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$550	$522.44	-$5.22	51% 3258-3136 (6394)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$271.13	—	-$274.38
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$261.22	$522.44	+$269.16
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.2¢	$520.93	$499.16	-$2.1	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 90¢	$14.9	$10	+$0.1	63% 3881-2327 (6208)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 89¢	$6.23	$7	+$0.77	52% 2568-2395 (4963)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$0.24	—	-$0.24	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.01	—	-$0.01	37% 1317-2199 (3516)