Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 88%
$1.1K
-$7.35
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $550 | $512.94 | -$7.75 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50Β’ | $501.84 | $500 | +$4.4 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84.7Β’ | $14.74 | $13.52 | -$1.22 | 64% 2317-1294 (3611) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $11.88 | $12.12 | +$0.24 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.8Β’ | $9.32 | $11.13 | +$1.81 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $5.05 | $5.1 | +$0.05 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 61Β’ | $5.85 | β | -$5.85 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 46Β’ | $2.3 | $5 | +$2.7 | 48% 1194-1295 (2489) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $0.69 | $0.7 | +$0.01 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $3.6 | β | -$1.75 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
Invested
$550
Value
$512.94
PnL
-$7.75
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$501.84
Value
$500
PnL
+$4.4
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$14.74
Value
$13.52
PnL
-$1.22
Record
64%
2317-1294 (3611)
Invested
$11.88
Value
$12.12
PnL
+$0.24
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Invested
$9.32
Value
$11.13
PnL
+$1.81
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.85
Value
β
PnL
-$5.85
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$2.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.7
Record
48%
1194-1295 (2489)
Invested
$0.69
Value
$0.7
PnL
+$0.01
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Invested
$3.6
Value
β
PnL
-$1.75
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down β $512.94
ByteBadger92
Down β $500
asidjasiodja
Down β $13.52
dvasdkasodk
Down β $12.12
asdaefef
Down β $11.13
hoodquant
Down β $5.1

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
PBot-5
Down β $5
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $0.7
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $0