Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 88%
$1.1K
$8.19
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $523.85 | $490.1 | -$6.71 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 88Β’ | $441.93 | $502.04 | +$60.11 | 42% 1609-2196 (3805) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 87.3Β’ | $70.4 | $65 | -$5.4 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.7Β’ | $42.18 | β | -$42.18 | 48% 1194-1295 (2489) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $32.67 | $33 | +$0.33 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $12.48 | $13 | +$0.52 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $10.89 | $12 | +$1.11 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 87.9Β’ | $17.7 | $10 | +$0.41 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
Invested
$523.85
Value
$490.1
PnL
-$6.71
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$441.93
Value
$502.04
PnL
+$60.11
Record
42%
1609-2196 (3805)
Invested
$70.4
Value
$65
PnL
-$5.4
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$42.18
Value
β
PnL
-$42.18
Record
48%
1194-1295 (2489)
Invested
$32.67
Value
$33
PnL
+$0.33
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.48
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.52
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$10.89
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.11
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$17.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.41
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down β $490.1
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $502.04
soswald1
Down β $65
PBot-5
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $33

MayorMamdani
Down β $13
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $12
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $10