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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$28.18

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$645.67

Total Shares646

Combined PnL+$61.55

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares50

Combined PnL-$33.37

Up — 58%Down — 42%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$550	$513.34	+$10.75	51% 3258-3136 (6394)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$536.58	$499.49	+$8.54	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.2¢	$245.67	$499.49	+$254.19
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$249.07	—	-$245.65
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 42.2¢	$30.4	$72.06	+$41.66	48% 1194-1295 (2489)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98.2¢	$17.71	$18.04	+$0.33	98% 3543-73 (3616)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 95.3¢	$17.11	$17.97	+$0.85	49% 2315-2365 (4680)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 44.3¢	$15.42	—	-$15.42	37% 1317-2199 (3516)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 56¢	$8.4	—	-$8.4	43% 1993-2596 (4589)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 90¢	$7.36	$8.18	+$0.82	67% 3285-1642 (4927)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 38.5¢	$4.24	$11	+$6.76	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 92.6¢	$4.7	$5.08	+$0.38	64% 2317-1294 (3611)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 85¢	$4.25	—	-$4.25	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$2.45	—	-$2.45	63% 3881-2327 (6208)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 57¢	$2.85	—	-$2.85	47% 2083-2336 (4419)

Invested

$550

Value

$513.34

PnL

+$10.75

Record

51%

3258-3136 (6394)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$536.58

Value

$499.49

PnL

+$8.54

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

Both legs:

Up$245.6749.2¢+$254.19

Down$249.0749.7¢-$245.65

Invested

$30.4

Value

$72.06

PnL

+$41.66

Record

48%

1194-1295 (2489)

Invested

$17.71

Value

$18.04

PnL

+$0.33

Record

98%

3543-73 (3616)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$17.11

Value

$17.97

PnL

+$0.85

Record

49%

2315-2365 (4680)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$15.42

Value

—

PnL

-$15.42

Record

37%

1317-2199 (3516)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$8.4

Value

—

PnL

-$8.4

Record

43%

1993-2596 (4589)

Invested

$7.36

Value

$8.18

PnL

+$0.82

Record

67%

3285-1642 (4927)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$4.24

Value

$11

PnL

+$6.76

Record

42%

1609-2196 (3805)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5.08

PnL

+$0.38

Record

64%

2317-1294 (3611)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$4.25

Value

—

PnL

-$4.25

Record

47%

1998-2233 (4231)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.45

Value

—

PnL

-$2.45

Record

63%

3881-2327 (6208)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.85

Value

—

PnL

-$2.85

Record

47%

2083-2336 (4419)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb0dbdf73...7d6137

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794672900

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Up — $513.34

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

PBot-5

Up — $72.06

hoodquant

Up — $18.04

dvasdkasodk

Up — $17.97

antsaslyku

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $8.18

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $11

asidjasiodja

Up — $5.08

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