Back to Markets
UpDownDownDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$60.99
Combined PnL
-$484.42
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares537
Combined PnL-$498.52
Down3 traders
Total Value$60.99
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$14.1
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.2¢ | $502.56 | — | -$495.02 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $33.4 | $44.99 | +$11.6 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $8.2 | $10 | +$1.8 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $5.3 | $6 | +$0.7 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 64% 2317-1294 (3611) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.5¢ | $0.76 | — | -$0.76 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 49% 2315-2365 (4680) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$502.56
Value
—
PnL
-$495.02
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$33.4
Value
$44.99
PnL
+$11.6
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.8
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.7
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
64%
2317-1294 (3611)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.76
Value
—
PnL
-$0.76
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
49%
2315-2365 (4680)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x37eac74f...a3bf28
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794671400