Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 90%
$1.1K
$19.54
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $550 | $533.8 | +$1.86 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $514.64 | $502.01 | +$6.45 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71.2Β’ | $17.16 | $19.58 | +$2.44 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.6Β’ | $13.44 | $13.63 | +$0.19 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 40Β’ | $3.43 | $8.57 | +$5.14 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $3.66 | $8.51 | +$4.85 | 38% 1298-2160 (3458) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81Β’ | $3.85 | $3.83 | -$0.02 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $4.6 | $5 | +$0.4 | 52% 2516-2359 (4875) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 77.2Β’ | $4.63 | $6 | +$1.37 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $3.12 | β | -$3.12 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
Invested
$550
Value
$533.8
PnL
+$1.86
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$514.64
Value
$502.01
PnL
+$6.45
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$17.16
Value
$19.58
PnL
+$2.44
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$13.44
Value
$13.63
PnL
+$0.19
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$3.43
Value
$8.57
PnL
+$5.14
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
Invested
$3.66
Value
$8.51
PnL
+$4.85
Record
38%
1298-2160 (3458)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$3.83
PnL
-$0.02
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.4
Record
52%
2516-2359 (4875)
Invested
$4.63
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.37
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$3.12
Value
β
PnL
-$3.12
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down β $533.8
ByteBadger92
Down β $502.01
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $19.58
hoodquant
Down β $13.63
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $8.57
antsaslyku
Down β $8.51
asdaefef
Down β $3.83

MayorMamdani
Down β $5
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $6
PBot-6
CTRUp β $0