Back to Markets
UpDownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$516.8
Combined PnL
-$553.15
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares565
Combined PnL-$550.7
Down3 traders
Total Value$516.8
Total Shares517
Combined PnL-$2.45
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$543.95 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $508.87 | $501.8 | -$2.03 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $11 | $10 | +$0.85 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 44% 1957-2530 (4487) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.27 | $5 | -$1.27 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$543.95
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$508.87
Value
$501.8
PnL
-$2.03
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$11
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.85
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
44%
1957-2530 (4487)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.27
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.27
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x25d5c321...5ad130
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794666000