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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

Total Value

$48.17

Combined PnL

-$498.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares579
Combined PnL-$506.16
Down4 traders
Total Value$48.17
Total Shares48
Combined PnL+$7.37
Up — 64%Down — 36%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$509.31

Value

—

PnL

-$497.55

Record

54%

3302-2813 (6115)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$20.13

Value

$24.48

PnL

+$4.34

Record

51%

3198-3088 (6286)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$9.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.7

Record

48%

1402-1515 (2917)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$7.29

Value

$7.69

PnL

+$0.4

Record

52%

2516-2359 (4875)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.3

Value

—

PnL

-$4.3

Record

47%

2034-2298 (4332)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$4.08

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.92

Record

42%

1545-2147 (3692)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.27

Value

—

PnL

-$2.27

Record

49%

2260-2317 (4577)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

67%

3226-1609 (4835)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.71

Value

—

PnL

+$0.19

Record

63%

3817-2281 (6098)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.28

Value

—

PnL

-$1.28

Record

64%

2269-1266 (3535)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

44%

1957-2530 (4487)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x56d02f31...3fb280
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794665400

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$497.55
SO

soswald1

Down — $24.48

+$4.34

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $10

+$0.7

MayorMamdani

Down — $7.69

+$0.4
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.3
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

+$1.92
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.27
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.5
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Up — $0

+$0.19
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.28
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