Back to Markets
UpUpDownDownDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 43%
Total Value
$121.01
Combined PnL
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,048
Combined PnL$-1.0K
Down4 traders
Total Value$121.01
Total Shares121
Combined PnL+$2.14
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$546.39 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $504.27 | — | -$491.21 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 98.6¢ | $194.21 | $106 | +$1.88 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $4.95 | $5.01 | +$0.06 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 64% 2269-1266 (3535) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 1298-2160 (3458) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$546.39
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$504.27
Value
—
PnL
-$491.21
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Invested
$194.21
Value
$106
PnL
+$1.88
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.06
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
64%
2269-1266 (3535)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
1298-2160 (3458)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2a2a396b...017072
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794664800