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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Down 38%

Total Value

$666.72

Combined PnL

-$526.99

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 14 top traders (43%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$666.72

Total Shares667

Combined PnL-$10.9

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares602

Combined PnL-$516.1

Down — 43%Up — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$550	$513.38	-$8.29	51% 3170-3070 (6240)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.5¢	$521.11	—	-$492.29	54% 3273-2778 (6051)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 63.1¢	$142.65	$118.84	-$19.91	50% 2996-2942 (5938)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 91.7¢	$16.05	$17.5	+$1.45	48% 1394-1507 (2901)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 30.8¢	$5.28	—	-$5.28	67% 3205-1601 (4806)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 48¢	$4.01	$5	+$0.99	49% 2245-2302 (4547)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 66.5¢	$7.98	$12	+$4.02	42% 1520-2127 (3647)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 17.1¢	$5.06	—	-$5.06	50% 2116-2116 (4232)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 89¢	$4.45	—	-$4.45	52% 2502-2335 (4837)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$2.45	—	-$2.45	48% 1156-1258 (2414)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 14.4¢	$2.16	—	-$2.16	44% 1940-2509 (4449)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 11¢	$1.04	—	-$1.04	64% 2251-1263 (3514)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 16.9¢	$3.26	—	-$3.36	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 11¢	$1.65	—	+$10.85	46% 2602-3088 (5690)

Invested

$550

Value

$513.38

PnL

-$8.29

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$521.11

Value

—

PnL

-$492.29

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$142.65

Value

$118.84

PnL

-$19.91

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$16.05

Value

$17.5

PnL

+$1.45

Record

48%

1394-1507 (2901)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$5.28

Value

—

PnL

-$5.28

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.01

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.99

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$7.98

Value

$12

PnL

+$4.02

Record

42%

1520-2127 (3647)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$5.06

Value

—

PnL

-$5.06

Record

50%

2116-2116 (4232)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$4.45

Value

—

PnL

-$4.45

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

Invested

$2.45

Value

—

PnL

-$2.45

Record

48%

1156-1258 (2414)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2.16

Value

—

PnL

-$2.16

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.04

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$3.26

Value

—

PnL

-$3.36

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

Invested

$1.65

Value

—

PnL

+$10.85

Record

46%

2602-3088 (5690)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 14 top traders (43%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdf8efeee...58d033

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794662700

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Down — $513.38

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $118.84

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $17.5

asdaefef

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $12

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

PBot-5

Up — $0

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